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Steve Rieder has accumulated a 198-154-1 record, +29.01 units over the course of the 2021 & 2022 NFL seasons combined
By Steve Rieder
The NFL sides market is an extremely efficient market. You need to find an edge wherever you can when betting NFL sides. One way of doing this is to get ahead of the market by attacking the lookahead lines weeks in advance. Here is my NFL Week 6 lookahead free play:
Lookahead Forecast History:
-Week 4: SF -1. Closed SF -2, but the 49ers won going away by a score of 24-9. (WINNER)
-Week 5: MIN -6.5. With the market currently painted -7.5, we got ahead of the move and are sitting on a +EV play. (TBD)
Week 6 Lookahead Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles -5.5 vs. Dallas Cowboys
Simply by looking at my power ratings, we have tremendous value, especially when considering we are going through the key number of 7. But these are my power ratings for today and not anticipating what they will be next week. There is a possibility that Dak could be back next week, but it didn’t seem like he was close to playing this week. Even if Prescott is able to come back, he won’t have a ton of practice under his belt. I’m also curious how well he will be able to grip the ball under pressure in the pocket or as a ball carrier. I think this line assumes Dak is healthy, or nearly healthy, and frankly I’m not a believer he’s either. Their matchups this week also give credence to the Eagles gaining some additional support. They are currently 5 point favorites against a Cardinals team that has looked inconsistent at best, while the Cowboys are 5.5 dogs in LA. Flying from one side of the country to the other may not be the concern it was in the past with the private jets these teams now fly on, but it certainly won’t help Dallas. I have Philly only behind the Bills and Chiefs in my power ratings and I’m simply not a believer in the Cooper Rush hype. I do expect a lower scoring game in this divisional rival matchup, but the Eagles catching less than a touchdown is an autoplay for me.
