By Chris Dell
Welcome to the first weekly installment of our Betting Predators NFL Weekly Recap Column! For the full episode of our NFL Week 13 Recap Podcast, simply click here or listen to the audio player below for our full breakdown of each game on the main slate. I've included additional notes below for the handful of primetime games we had this week as well. This article will serve as more of a quick-hitting highlight post on my initial thoughts and takeaways from the week that was. I've also included a few brief notes below each games for Week 14 in regards to current lines and areas to potentially target for player props, DFS and season-long fantasy leagues. Questions? As always, hit me any time on Twitter @MaddJournalist:
Saints 21 @ Falcons 16
Brees could be back next week; Taysom first ever career passing TD in the NFL today
Get right spot for Kamara, 15-88-1 & 3 tar; MT 11-9-105, seeing near 40% taysom tar
Ridley/Julio top 10 WR together, both 10 tar, combined 20-11-202; Gage 8 tar/Hurst 4
Week 14 Lines: N.O. -7 @ PHI; ATL -2.5 @ LAC
Week 14 Props: Fade starting RBs vs Saints, take advantage of no J-Jenkins when possible
Lions 34 @ Bears 30
Marvin Jones was top 5 in air yards week 12, goes for 12-8-116-1; Hock 9-7-84
Montgomery 17-72-2 & 4-4-39; last two games 28-175 & 10-9-79; borderline RB1
Kmet ties A-Rob with 7 targets, posts 7-5-37-1, top waiver add/graham irrelevant
Week 14 Lines: GB -8.5 @ DET; HOU -1.5 @ CHI
Week 14 Props: Target starting RB1s vs Lions and WR1s vs Lions
Browns 41 @ Titans 35
Browns will be overvalued after W vs pass funnel def; Landry 10 tar, Higgins 9, DPJ 3
Chubb 14-80-1/1-1-26 vs Hunt 14-33/3-3-24; Chubb fresh now, Hunt bothered by injury
Davis/Brown both T20 in + matchups; Brown injured but still 7-4-87, Davis 12-11-183-1
Week 14 Lines: BAL -1 @ CLE; TEN -7 @ JAX
Week 14 Props: Target passing games/good usage guys vs. Browns and vs. Titans
Jaguars 24 @ Vikings 27 (OT)
Glennon Tar: Chark 7, Johnson 6, Eifert 6, Robinson 6, O’Shaughnessy 6 (TE/RB, good)
Cook 32-120 and 9-6-59; 41 touches, is that most for RB this year/in his career?!
Jefferson (12-9-121-1, 13.4 ypc) better with Thielen on field (11-8-75-1, 9.4 ypc)
Week 14 Lines: TEN -7 @ JAX; MIN @ TB -6.5
Week 14 Props: Target offenses/good usage guys in general vs Vikings & vs Jaguars
Raiders 31 @ Jets 28
Waller eruption, 17-13-200-2; Agholor just 4-38 on 11 tar, Renfrow 6 tar, Ruggs 4 tar
Ty Johnson 22-104-1 & 2-2-13; Adams 8-74, will Gore be back? Deep waiver adds
Crowder back to tar hog (7 of 23 attempts); Perriman 4 tar, Mims 3 tar, Darnold sucks :/
Week 14 Lines: IND -2.5 @ LV; NYJ @ SEA -13.5
Week 14 Props: Target pass games/slot/te vs NYJ & RB1s/overall offenses vs Raiders
Colts 26 @ Texans 20
Taylor back for 13-91 & 3-3-44-1, last two games now 35-181 & 7-7-68-1, Top 10
Coutee 9-8-141, Cooks concussion, Duke 6-6-24 might play slot; Coutee new WR1
Hilton 11-8-110-1, last two games now 16-12-191-2; Pittman and MAC five target each
Chad Hansen 25 y/o via Cal, hadn’t caught pass since ‘17 rookie year w/ NYJ; 7-5-101
Week 14 Lines: IND -2.5 @ LV (*Colts = Best Bet Candidate*); HOU -1.5 @ CHI
Week 14 Props: Target RB1s vs Texans & WR1s vs Texans with no more Roby
Bengals 7 @ Dolphins 19
Higgins led team again, 7-5-56, last week 5-5-44-1, still a flex but shaky floor/low ceiling
Gaskin back to workhorse 21-90 & 2-2-51; Gesicki TE1 ceiling, 11-9-88-1, Parker 8-4-35
Tua inefficient despite decent box score, just 19 pts, 1-for-10 on 3rd downs, 406 total yds
Week 14 Lines: DAL -3.5 @ CIN; *KC @ MIA (no line yet)
Week 14 Props: RB1s vs Bengals, TEs vs Bengals -> look into Williams Jackson shadow #’s*
Rams 38 @ Cardinals 28
Kyler bottom 10 qb without rushing; two late turnovers, 4.4 ypa, Hopkins 13-8-52-1
Akers workhorse, priority waiver add if still available, 21-72-1, 1-1-22; still a committee
Henderson got banged up but still had 3-49-1, 38 yd TD run, 3-2-25; Brown 1-30-1
Woods playing more slot lately, 11-10-85; Kupp 9-8-73; Everett/Higbee 13-10-68-1
Week 14 Lines: NE +6 @ LAR; ARI -2.5 @NYG
Week 14 Props: RB1s vs ARI (cluster DL injuries); slot WRs vs ARI (byron jones = weak)
Giants 17 @ Seahawks 12
Gallman 16-135 (0 tar)/NYG def will this team to win; SEA 4-13 on 3rd D, 0-2 on 4th D
NYG 5.3 ypp to 4.7 ypp; Wilson sacked 5x; DK 8-5-80; Lockett 9-6-63; Carson 6-3-45
Dissly/Hollister 9-7-48; Carson 16 touch, 110 yd, 6 tar, almost RB1; Hyde/Dallas 7 touch
Week 14 Lines: ARI -2.5 @ NYG; NYJ @ SEA -13.5
Week 14 Props: Don’t underestimate Giants D stopping run or pass/Bradberry still good
Eagles 16 @ Packers 30
Hurts 5-12, 109, 1-1 (9.1 ypa), 5-29 rush; Wentz 6-15, 79, 0-0 (5.3 ypa), 3-18 rush
Sanders 10 carries/just 1 target; Howard/Scott combine for 8 carries/targets, sucks
Goedert true WR1 for Eagles, just listed as “TE”, 7-5-66, now 29-21-231-2 in last 4
A Jones matchup proof at this time of year, 15-130-1 & 3-3-18; Williams 5 car, 2 tar
Week 14 Lines: N.O. -7 @ PHI; GB -8.5 @ DET
Week 14 Props: Still target RB1s vs GB & “maybe” WR1s vs PHI (*check Slay injury report)
Patriots 45 @ Chargers 0
Harris 16-80, Michel 10-35, Cam 14-48, total three guys = 40-163-1; LAC cant stop run
Meyers still 6 tar/White 4 tar on 19 cam att; Herbert 3.9 ypa, Allen 11 tar/Mike 9/Ekeler 9
Ballage 7 car/4 tar, was it just game script blowout or does he threaten Ekeler RB1 load?
Week 14 Lines: NE +6 @ LAR; ATL -2.5 @ LAC
Week 14 Props: RBs vs LAC all day every day; try to continue to avoid props on NE games
Broncos 16 @ Chiefs 22
Continued high target volume for Kelce/Hill; combined 23 tar/14 rec, 58% target share
Watkins 6 tar, no other Chief more than 3; Watkins/Kelce/Hill all playing slot snaps/routes
Gordon best game of year, 15-131 & 2-1-11; reminds us KC still vulnerable on ground
Fant healthiest/best game in a while, team high 7 tar, 7-4-57, long of 37; Hamler 5 tar
Week 14 Lines: KC -7.5 @ MIA; DEN @ CAR (*no line due to COVID cases for Panthers)
Week 14 Props: RBs & TEs vs KC swiss cheese run def; check DEN def injuries this week
Washington 23 @ Steelers 17
Thomas/McKissic 19 tar (41.3); Sims nearly doubles career high w/ 9 tar, WAIVER ADD
Sims Jr./McLaurin still 6 tar each, expect WAS to be more pass happy w/o Gibson
Steelers #2 pass heavy offense in league, 53 (!) attempts to 14 rushes (76.8%)
Diontae 12 tar, Ebron 11, JuJu 10, Claypool/Washington 4, Washington more snaps :(
Week 14 Lines: WAS @ SF -3.5; PIT @ BUF -2.5
Week 14 Props: tough to play overs vs WAS defense; still target pass games vs PIT/fade RBs
Bills 34 @ 49ers 24
Target share w/o Brown: Diggs 31.7%/WR1, Beasley 22.2%/WR3, Davis 13.5%/FLEX
Allen now 70% completion rate & 26:8 TD/INT; #3 mvp candidate w/ Aaron, Mahomes
Singletary dominates usage over Moss; 18-61 & 4-3-22 vs. 3-9 & 1-1-5; viable flex/RB3
Knox emerging as low-end TE1 option, 9-7-45-2 over last 3 games; 4 tar in 2 of 3 games
Mostert 9-42 & 1-1-1, Wilson 7-47 & 5-2-12; Wilson 12 touches vs. Mostert 9 touches
Aiyuk/Samuel dominate tar share, 18-11-168-1 (46.1%); Bourne 6 tar as SF #3 wr
Week 14 Lines: PIT @ BUF -2.5; WAS @ SF -3.5
Week 14 Props: BUF def healthier/no longer run funnel; 49ers down game, defense still #good
Cowboys 17 @ Ravens 34
Gallup now 5+ tar in 5 straight; 7+ in 4 of 5; 11-7-86-1; Lamb 9-6-46; Cooper 9-5-43-1
BAL four headed RB continues, Gus 7-101, Ingram 6-28, JK 11-71-1, Lamar 13-94-1
Brown near 50% target share, 8 tar on 17 att; should’ve put up more #’s with this volume
Week 14 Lines: DAL @ CIN (*line not available); BAL @ CLE (*line not available)
Week 14 Props: Bernard vs. DAL run def, Zeke vs. CIN run def; DAL passing game vs. CIN