NFL Week 12 Cheat Sheet: OL/DL Run Defense, Pass Rush & Pass Rate Mismatches to Exploit

Welcome to our weekly NFL Betting Predators OL/DL "Cheat Sheet" where we rank every game by projected team total and top mismatches for a team's run blocking vs. opponent run defense and pass blocking vs. opponent pass rush. We take the average of three of the top industry ranks — PFF team grades, ESPN's win rate metrics and EPA allowed — to specifically look at the mismatches in the trenches and through the air, with an eye towards specific opportunties to bet player props on rushing, passing, receiving and sometimes sack props and other derivatives as well. Use the button at the bottom of this article to view the full Google Spreadsheet, which is updated multiple times per week as spreads/totals/projected team points change, and as injuries are announced.

Please note: the RUN BLK ADV, PASS RUSH ADV and PASS RATE ADV columns labeled in black are the "net difference" when taking a team's average and substracting it from their opponent team's average in the same area. There is no one uniform way or rule to using these ranking averages listed below. Simply use them as a guide, as an easier way to view all the important that you need to know, in one place, and as a supplement to the other research you're conducting for your bets. We appreciate you reading, and we hope this brings you some value below. Have any questions? Hit me up on Twitter/X @MaddJournalist.

Chris Dell
@MaddJournalist

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