Our NFL Premium Package is Now Available for the 2022 season! Get full access to our best bets, given out early in the week, in real time: sides, totals, player props, and more, all in one place, through the end of the Super Bowl.
TOP RUN BLOCKING DISADVANTAGE
(WORST RUSHING MATCHUPS)
Jaguars -10.7 at Kansas City
Jacksonville Jaguars -10.7 at Kansas City Chiefs
The Jaguars enter the divisional round with the worst ranked run blocking offensive line. Football Outsiders ranks Jacksonville run blocking the highest at 28th, ESPN's run block win rate metric ranks the Jaguars 29th, and Pro Football Focus grades Jacksonville 30th. All five offensive linemen for the Jaguars grade below average at run blocking and there aren't any Jaguars on ESPN's RBWR rankings.
Kansas City's run stop rankings are all over the place. Football Outsiders ranks the Chiefs fifth at stopping the run, Pro Football Focus grades K.C. 18th, and ESPN's run stop win rate rankings has Kansas City ranked dead last at 32nd. PFF grades defensive tackle Chris Jones seventh out of 140 and linebacker Nick Bolton 19th out of 85 at run defense. The other five starters grade below average at run defense. Kansas City doesn't have any defenders on ESPN's RSWR rankings.
TOP RUN BLOCKING ADVANTAGES
(BEST RUSHING MATCHUPS)
Eagles +21 vs Giants
Philadelphia Eagles +21 vs New York Giants
The Eagles have the highest ranked run block average out of the final eight teams according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Football Outsiders ranks Philadelphia's run blocking the lowest at seventh overall, followed by Pro Football Focus with a ranking of five. ESPN's run block win rate metric ranks the Eagles second overall. Three Eagles are ranked in the top 10 of ESPN's RBWR rankings. Guard Landon Dickinson is ranked #1 at his position, Jordan Mailata is the second highest ranked guard, and Jason Kelce is the third highest ranked center. PFF grades every Eagle's offensive linemen above average at run blocking. PFF grades center Jason Kelce grades 2nd out of 35 at run blocking.
The Giants have the worst run defensive average this week out of the final eight teams. Both Pro Football Focus and ESPN's run stop win rate metric rank New York 28th. Football Outsiders is a little more generous, ranking the Giants 21st. Defensive tackle Leonard Williams is ranked 10th on ESPN's RSWR rankings. Despite PFF overall low team grade at run defense, three of the Giants front seven run stoppers grade above average at stopping the run. Lead by defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence who grades #1 out of 140, DT Leonard Williams is 26th out of 140, and edge rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux grades 31st out of 118.
By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell
Want to have direct access to our network of Betting Predators handicappers? Sign up for our FREE Discord channel to get 24/7 direct access to our handicapping team, as well as our community of sharp bettors
Want an easy to find all of our Betting Predators content in one place? Sign up for our free newsletter, Substack and receive a weekly roundup on everything we've published (FREE + PREMIUM), and all that we're up to throughout the week. We promise we'll never give your email address out for advertising purposes.