After a couple days off to enjoy Independence Day and take a deep breath, MLB handicapper Dalton Brown is diving right back in with a best bet on Wednesday's MLB slate.
8:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox: Blue Jays moneyline (-120) at BetMGM
The Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago White Sox will resume their series from the south side of Chicago on Wednesday, and I'm backing Toronto to pick up a win.
The Blue Jays will get their shot at struggling veteran righty Lance Lynn, a pitcher who has allowed at least three earned runs in each of his last six starts and just finished June with an ERA of 6.28. Lynn already saw Toronto in April, and was drilled for four earned runs in only five innings. The veteran righty is facing an especially steep uphill battle against the Jays, who rank sixth in MLB since June 1 with a 111 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitching.
Jose Berrios will take the mound for Toronto, hoping to begin a third-straight strong month of pitching in July. Berrios posted a 3.19 ERA in May followed by a 3.53 mark in June, and when he last saw the White Sox in April, he cruised through seven scoreless innings. Chicago hasn't improved much offensively, either - since June 1, the White Sox rank just 25th in MLB with a 91 wRC+ vs. righties.
The Blue Jays' bullpen has been excellent as well, posting a 3.93 xFIP (4th-best in MLB) since June 1. Toronto is the better team here, with a pitching matchup slanted in their favor and a bullpen in good form. Let's trust the Jays.