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The Betting Predators team delivers you the most actionable NFL Betting analysis, period, with a focus on long-term profitability, as well as sports betting education and transparency through tracking results.
Our 2023 NFL Betting Preview "E-Book" is also now live and FREE to access on our website. We have spent the entire offseason researching, reading articles, listening to podcasts, and ignoring our familial responsibilities to find and filter the best and most important NFL information and best bets you need for this upcoming season. For this edition, we will cover the 2023 betting prospects of the Green Bay Packers.
As part of our 2023 NFL Betting Preview E-Book series, we will look at the current state of each team in an attempt to identify reasons for optimism and causes for concern and, most importantly, what can be exploited in the current betting marketplace. Make sure to read our Glossary and Analytics keyword primer below, as we release one team betting preview chapter at a time from now through Monday, August 28th.
GREEN BAY PACKERS - REASONS FOR OPTIMISM
Green Bay finally relented and traded Aaron Rodgers to the Jets this offseason. On the surface, this may seem detrimental to Green Bay - but on closer examination, Rodgers was pedestrian last year. He finished 21st in EPA and fell flat against better competition. He became a distraction to the team, and from an organizational perspective, finding out what Jordan Love is capable of is prudent. The 4th-year quarterback will get an opportunity to start behind an offensive line that features all five returning starters after finishing 2022 top-10 in both pass rush win rate and run block win rate while allowing the league’s 2nd-lowest pressure rate. The Packers also retained Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon, who they will again lean heavily on in 2023. |
GREEN BAY PACKERS - CAUSE FOR CONCERN
If Aaron Rodgers could not succeed with this receiving corps, how can Jordan Love? Green Bay finally drafted a 2nd-round WR in Jayden Reed and TE Luke Musgrave to help, but they certainly don’t have a number one receiver or security blanket for Love to throw to. If Watson and Doubs don’t improve significantly, the Packers’ predictable run-first offense may be easy to stop. Defensively, Green Bay has been a sieve against the run. Bringing back Defensive Coordinator Joe Barry surprised many. He will need to make some changes to avoid finishing 2nd worst in run defense in consecutive years. Too much of Green Bay’s success rests in an inexperienced quarterback who has thrown 83 NFL passes in his career. |
GREEN BAY PACKERS - BETTING OPPORTUNITES
I have the Packers at 7.76 wins, which aligns with the market, but there is reason to believe Green Bay could make a run this year. Their rookie receivers showed promise as the season progressed, and the Rodgers trade could prove to be addition by subtraction. Jordan Love is a complete mystery, but with time to prepare and an offense built around his skillset, there is a world where he finds success and is an average NFL starter. If that happens, they could make a run at the winnable NFC North with their run game and pass defense. The Lions are being priced as the overwhelming favorites, but this division has much more parity than meets the eye.
2023 GREEN BAY PACKERS BEST BET
- GB to Win NFC North (+400) (Play to +375)
